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The Limits of Political Compromise: Debt Ceilings and Political Turnover

机译:政治妥协的局限:债务上限与政治离职

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摘要

We study the desirability of limits on the public debt and of political turnover in an economy where incumbents have an incentive to set public expenditures above the socially optimal level due to rent-seeking motives. Parties alternate in office and cannot commit to future policies, but they can forge a political compromise where each party curbs excessive spending when in office if it expects future governments to do the same. In contrast to the received literature, we find that strict limits on government borrowing can exacerbate political economy distortions by making a political compromise unsustainable. This tends to happen when political turnover is limited. Conversely, a tight limit on the public debt fosters a compromise that yields the efficient outcome if political turnover is vigorous. Our analysis thus suggests that to sustain good economic policies, a society needs to restrict either the extent of political turnover or the ability of governments to issue debt, but not both.
机译:我们研究了在一个经济体中限制公共债务和政治营业额的可取性,在这种经济中,由于寻租动机,现任者有动力将公共支出设置在社会最优水平之上。政党轮流任职,不能承诺未来的政策,但是,他们可以在政治上做出妥协,如果各方希望未来的政府也这样做,那就可以限制政党在任职时的过多支出。与收到的文献相反,我们发现严格限制政府借贷会使政治妥协变得不可持续,从而加剧政治经济扭曲。当政治营业额受到限制时,往往会发生这种情况。相反,对公共债务的严格限制会促成妥协,如果政治更替活跃,则可以产生有效的结果。因此,我们的分析表明,为了维持良好的经济政策,社会需要限制政治周转的程度或政府发行债务的能力,但不能同时限制两者。

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