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Hurricanes, Economic Growth and Transmission Channels - Empirical Evidence for Developed and Underdeveloped Countries

机译:飓风,经济增长和传播渠道 - 发达国家和欠发达国家的经验证据

摘要

While the short-term growth consequences of natural disasters are comparatively well studied, there is little knowledge how disasters affect long-run growth. Based on truly exogenous storm indicators, derived from a meteorological database, we show that the growth effects of tropical storms go well beyond the short-term perspective. These negative growth effects of hurricanes are especially pronounced in underdeveloped countries which have comparatively little possibilities to protect against storm consequences. We show that the negative growth effects in underdeveloped countries are amplified by an increase in net fertility and a decrease in educational efforts in the aftermath of occurring hurricanes.
机译:尽管对自然灾害的短期增长后果进行了比较充分的研究,但很少了解灾难如何影响长期增长。基于从气象数据库得出的真正的外源性风暴指标,我们表明,热带风暴的增长影响远远超出了短期观点。飓风的这些负面增长影响在不发达的国家尤为明显,这些国家相对较少地防范风暴后果。我们表明,在发生飓风之后,净生育率的增加和教育努力的减少,加剧了不发达国家的负面增长效应。

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