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Combination of real options and game-theoretic approach in investment analysis

机译:结合实物期权和博弈论方法进行投资分析

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摘要

Investments in technology create a large amount of capital investments by major companies. Assessing such investment projects is identified as critical to the efficient assignment of resources. Viewing investment projects as real options, this paper expands a method for assessing technology investment decisions in the linkage existence of uncertainty and competition. It combines the game-theoretic models of strategic market interactions with a real options approach. Several key characteristics underlie the model. First, our study shows how investment strategies rely on competitive interactions. Under the force of competition, firms hurry to exercise their options early. The resulting ''hurry equilibrium'' destroys the option value of waiting and involves violent investment behavior. Second, we get best investment policies and critical investment entrances. This suggests that integrating will be unavoidable in some information product markets. The model creates some new intuitions into the forces that shape market behavior as noticed in the information technology industry. It can be used to specify best investment policies for technology innovations and adoptions, multistage R&D, and investment projects in information technology.
机译:技术投资产生了大型公司的大量资本投资。评估此类投资项目被认为对有效分配资源至关重要。将投资项目视为实际选择,本文扩展了一种在不确定性和竞争存在联动的情况下评估技术投资决策的方法。它结合了战略市场互动的博弈模型与实物期权方法。该模型具有几个关键特征。首先,我们的研究表明投资策略如何依赖竞争相互作用。在竞争的推动下,企业急于尽早行使其选择权。由此产生的“仓促均衡”破坏了等待期权的价值,并涉及暴力的投资行为。第二,我们获得最佳的投资政策和关键的投资入口。这表明在某些信息产品市场中整合是不可避免的。该模型为塑造市场行为的力量创造了一些新的直觉,就像在信息技术行业中注意到的那样。它可用于为技术创新和采用,多阶段研发和信息技术投资项目指定最佳投资策略。

著录项

  • 作者

    Arasteh Abdollah;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2016
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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