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The Caspian Basin: Legal, political and security concerns, pipeline diplomacy and implications for EU energy security

机译:里海盆地:法律,政治和安全问题,管道外交以及对欧盟能源安全的影响

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摘要

Regions, rich in energy resources, continue to be of crucial interest for our carbon-powered world. There are numerous things at stake to begin with, from international legal status, ownership rights, energy routes, transit corridors, state and corporate interests, environmental hazards and the overall puzzle of energy diplomacy. Additionally, Caspian is troubled with its own specific set of complexities that are listed in this work. They range from the undefined legal status, territorial disputes, ethnic instabilities and vicinity to other hot spots, such as the turmoil Middle East and the more recently sparked conflict in Ukraine. Besides the current and ongoing political, legal and security concerns, another layer of complexity represents the recent economic crisis and the steep fall in global energy prices. Caspian is already experiencing the negative effects of these trends, not to forget the implications of the crisis in the Russian Federation's economic and currency sectors and the overall decline of investments in the region over the past two years. In addition to recouping the losses from energy trade, important consequence will therefore be a much tougher competition to attract investments in the future, inevitably resulting in greater concessions made on the invested side which is likely to impact regional stability. Because of its geographical setting, the Caspian is also of central interest for the European energy security, although the supply chain from the region has been traditionally kept under Russian Federation control. However, for the past decade or so, the EU is becoming increasingly ambitious in planning Caspian pipelines that exclude Russian Federation's territory and the Nabucco Pipeline project was in the centre of these strategic efforts for a considerable amount of time. The Caspian is therefore also at a crossroads between grand and conflicting energy interests of Russian Federation and the Western Europe.
机译:能源资源丰富的地区对我们的碳动力世界仍然至关重要。从国际法律地位,所有权,能源路线,过境走廊,国家和公司利益,环境危害以及能源外交的整体难题开始,有许多风险一开始。此外,里海还困扰于这项工作中列出的特定的复杂性。这些问题包括不确定的法律地位,领土纠纷,种族动荡和附近地区,以及其他热点,例如动荡的中东和最近在乌克兰引发的冲突。除了当前和持续的政治,法律和安全问题外,另一层复杂性代表了最近的经济危机和全球能源价格的急剧下跌。里海已经在经历这些趋势的负面影响,不要忘记这场危机对俄罗斯联邦经济和货币部门的影响以及过去两年该地区投资的总体下降。因此,除了弥补能源贸易带来的损失外,重要的结果将是在未来吸引投资方面进行更激烈的竞争,这不可避免地导致被投资方做出更大的让步,这很可能影响区域稳定。由于其地理环境,里海地区也是欧洲能源安全的中心利益,尽管该地区的供应链传统上一直处于俄罗斯联邦的控制之下。但是,在过去的十年左右的时间里,欧盟在规划不包括俄罗斯联邦领土的里海管道方面变得越来越雄心勃勃,而纳布科管道项目在相当长的时间内一直是这些战略努力的中心。因此,里海也在俄罗斯联邦和西欧的巨大和相互冲突的能源利益之间处于十字路口。

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    Bajrektarevic Anis H.;

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  • 年度 2015
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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