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Does Reducing Unemployment Benefits During a Recession Reduce Youth Unemployment? Evidence from a 50 Cut in Unemployment Assistance

机译:在经济衰退期间减少失业津贴是否会减少青年失业率?失业援助减少50%的证据

摘要

We use administrative data to examine the effect of a 50% benefit cut for young unemployed workers in Ireland during the Great Recession. Because the cut applied only to new benefit claims, claimants whose unemployment start dates differed by a matter of days received very different benefits; we exploit this fact in our Regression Discontinuity and Difference-in-Difference analyses. While we find no impact on unemployment duration for those aged 20 21, the benefit cut significantly reduced duration for 18 year olds, with an estimated elasticity close to one. We consider possible explanations for our findings and also examine long-run effects.
机译:我们使用行政数据来考察大萧条期间爱尔兰失业青年失业率降低50%的影响。由于削减仅适用于新的福利金索赔,因此失业开始日期相差几天的索赔人将获得非常不同的福利;我们在回归不连续性和差异差异分析中利用了这一事实。尽管我们发现20岁以下人群的失业时间没有影响,但削减福利金却大大减少了18岁儿童的失业时间,估计的弹性接近于一。我们考虑了可能的解释,并检验了长期影响。

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