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Does liquidity matter? Properties of a synthetic divisia monetary aggregate in the euro area

机译:流动性是否重要?欧元区合成分裂货币总量的属性

摘要

This paper sets out to build a synthetic quarterly Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area using area wide data over the sample period from 1980 to 2000. Then, the analysis proceeds in two separate steps. First, the demand for this Divisia monetary aggregate is evaluated using econometric techniques. By means of a cointegrated VECM model, a theoretically plausible and stable demand function may be estimated. Second, the information content of the Divisia monetary aggregate as regards future output and inflation in the euro area is analysed. The outcome of this analysis suggests that the Divisia monetary aggregate has some information content from a forward-looking perspective, of comparable quality as simple sum M1 and M3. More in general, the paper lends further support to the view that money and 'liquidity' should be assigned an important role in shaping monetary policy in the euro area.
机译:本文着手使用1980年至2000年样本期间的区域范围数据,建立欧元区的Divisia季度综合货币总量。然后,分析分两个步骤进行。首先,使用计量经济学技术评估对该Divisia货币总量的需求。借助于协整的VECM模型,可以估算出理论上合理且稳定的需求函数。其次,分析了Divisia货币总量关于欧元区未来产出和通胀的信息内容。该分析的结果表明,从前瞻性角度看,Divisia货币总量具有与简单总和M1和M3相当的质量的信息内容。总体而言,本文进一步支持了以下观点,即货币和“流动性”应在塑造欧元区货币政策中发挥重要作用。

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    Stracca Livio;

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  • 年度 2001
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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