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Integrating Energy Use into Macroeconomic Stock-Flow Consistent Models

机译:将能源利用纳入宏观经济股票流量一致模型

摘要

This thesis conceptualizes a method to analyze the structural dependencies between the physics of energy use and the economy. By synthesizing stock-flow consistent models, inputu2013output models, and aspects of ecological macroeconomics, a discrete dynamical model is developed to simultaneously study monetary flows through the financial system, flows of produced goods and services through the real economy, and flows of physical materials through the natural environment. First, the stability properties of the model are analyzed using bifurcation theory, delineating a generalized, multi-sectoral version of the Sraffian maximum rate of profit, and instabilities induced by inventory oscillations. Further analysis challenges claims that 0% interest rates are a necessary condition for a stationary economy. Second, one particular application of the model is illustrated by applying it to energy related problems such as rebound effects, and to assessing the contribution of energy price shocks to recessions caused by changes in Energy Returned on Energy Invested or price markup. Third, a minimal single-layer atmosphere climate model is used to demonstrate that the effect of anthropogenic heat flux from energy conversion on climate change should be taken into account in climate modeling once long-term growth scenarios are examined. In further research the model can contribute to an integrated assessment of pressing multidimensional problems such as climate change and the transformation to a sustainable economy, which equally relate to the economic, environmental and ecological sphere.
机译:本文从概念上分析了一种分析能源使用物理学与经济之间的结构依存关系的方法。通过综合库存流一致模型,投入产出模型和生态宏观经济学的各个方面,建立了离散的动力学模型,以同时研究金融体系中的货币流动,实体经济中的生产商品和服务的流动以及实物的流动。通过自然环境的材料。首先,使用分叉理论分析模型的稳定性,描绘出广义的,多部门的Sraffian最大利润率模型以及库存振荡引起的不稳定性。进一步的分析挑战声称,0%的利率是平稳经济的必要条件。其次,通过将模型应用于与能源相关的问题(例如反弹效应),并评估能源价格冲击对因能源投资回报或价格上涨而导致的经济衰退的贡献,来说明该模型的一种特殊应用。第三,使用最小单层大气气候模型来证明,一旦研究了长期增长情景,就应该在气候模型中考虑到来自能量转换的人为热通量对气候变化的影响。在进一步的研究中,该模型可以帮助综合评估紧迫的多维问题,例如气候变化和向可持续经济的转型,这些问题同样涉及经济,环境和生态领域。

著录项

  • 作者

    Richters Oliver;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2015
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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