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Low-wage careers: Are there dead-end firms and dead-end jobs?

机译:低工资职业:是否有死角公司和死胡同?

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摘要

Using representative linked employer-employee data of the German Federal Employment Agency, this paper shows that just one out of seven full-time employees who earned low wages (i.e., less than two-thirds of the median wage) in 1998/99 was able to earn wages above the low-wage threshold in 2003. Bivariate probit estimations with endogenous selection indicate that upward wage mobility is higher for younger and better qualified low-wage earners, whereas women are substantially less successful. We show that the characteristics of the employing firm also matter for low-wage earners' probability of escaping low-paid work. In particular, small plants and plants with a high share of low-wage earners often seem to be dead ends for low-wage earners. The likelihood of leaving the low-wage sector is also low when staying in unskilled and skilled service occupations and in unskilled commercial and administrative occupations. Consequently, leaving these dead-end plants and occupations appears to be an important instrument for achieving wages above the low-wage threshold.
机译:本文使用德国联邦职业介绍所的代表性关联雇主-雇员数据,表明在1998/99年度中,只有七分之一的低工资(即不到工资中位数的三分之二)的全职雇员能够收入高于2003年的低工资门槛。采用内生选择的双变量概率估计表明,年轻和合格的低工资收入者的向上工资流动性较高,而妇女的成功率则相对较低。我们证明,雇用公司的特征也与低薪者逃离低薪工作的可能性有关。特别是,小型植物和低收入者比例高的植物似乎对于低收入者来说是死胡同。留在低技能和技术服务行业以及非技能的商业和行政行业时,离开低薪行业的可能性也很小。因此,离开这些死胡同的工厂和职业似乎是使工资高于低工资门槛的重要手段。

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