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Convergence studies on Monte Carlo methods for pricing mortgage-backed securities

机译:蒙特卡罗方法对抵押贷款支持证券定价的收敛性研究

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摘要

Monte Carlo methods are widely-used simulation tools for market practitioners from trading to risk management. When pricing complex instruments, like mortgage-backed securities (MBS), strong path-dependency and high dimensionality make the Monte Carlo method the most suitable, if not the only, numerical method. In practice, while simulation processes in option-adjusted valuation can be relatively easy to implement, it is a well-known challenge that the convergence and the desired accuracy can only be achieved at the cost of lengthy computational times. In this paper, we study the convergence of Monte Carlo methods in calculating the option-adjusted spread (OAS), effective duration (DUR) and effective convexity (CNVX) of MBS instruments. We further define two new concepts, absolute convergence and relative convergence, and show that while the convergence of OAS requires thousands of simulation paths (absolute convergence), only hundreds of paths may be needed to obtain the desired accuracy for effective duration and effective convexity (relative convergence). These results suggest that practitioners can reduce the computational time substantially without sacrificing simulation accuracy.
机译:蒙特卡洛方法是从交易到风险管理的市场从业人员广泛使用的仿真工具。当对诸如抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)之类的复杂工具定价时,强大的路径依赖性和高维性使Monte Carlo方法成为最合适的方法,即使不是唯一的数值方法。在实践中,虽然期权调整后估值中的模拟过程相对容易实现,但众所周知的挑战是,收敛性和所需的准确性只能以较长的计算时间为代价。在本文中,我们研究了蒙特卡洛方法在计算MBS工具的期权调整利差(OAS),有效期限(DUR)和有效凸度(CNVX)中的收敛性。我们进一步定义了两个新概念,绝对收敛和相对收敛,并表明虽然OAS的收敛需要数千条仿真路径(绝对收敛),但可能仅需要数百条路径来获得有效持续时间和有效凸度所需的精度(相对收敛)。这些结果表明,从业人员可以在不牺牲仿真精度的情况下大大减少计算时间。

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