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A Banana Republic? Trust in Electoral Institutions in Western Democracies - Evidence from a Presidential Election in Austria

机译:香蕉共和国?对西方民主国家选举机构的信任 - 来自奥地利总统选举的证据

摘要

We examine the extent to which political scandals influence trust in electoral institutions in established Western democracies. The second ballot of the 2016 Presidential election in Austria needed to be repeated because of inconsistencies in individual electoral districts (scandal districts). In particular, postal votes were counted carelessly. We use a difference-indifferences approach comparing the regular and the repeated round of the second ballot, and examine whether voter turnout, postal voting, invalid voting and the vote shares of the candidates changed in scandal districts. Postal voting declined, but the results do not show that districts with inconsistencies differ regarding voter turnout, postal voting, invalid voting, and vote shares of the candidates. Votersu2019 trust in electoral institutions does not seem to depend on individual failing local administrations.
机译:我们考察了政治丑闻在多大程度上影响了西方民主国家对选举机构的信任。由于个别选举区(丑闻区)的不一致,需要重复2016年奥地利总统选举的第二轮投票。特别是,邮政票数是不小心计算的。我们使用差异差异方法比较第二轮投票的常规轮次和重复轮次,并检查选民投票率,邮政投票,无效投票和在丑闻地区的候选人的投票份额是否发生了变化。邮政投票有所减少,但结果并未显示在投票率,邮政投票,无效投票和候选人的投票份额方面存在不一致的地区。选民对选举机构的信任似乎并不取决于个别地方政府的失败。

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