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Price setting and inflation persistence: did EMU matter?

机译:价格设定和通胀持续性:EmU是否重要?

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摘要

Surprisingly it did not, or at least not directly. Using micro data on consumer prices and sectoral inflation rates from 6 euro area countries, spanning several years before and after the introduction of the euro, we look at whether EMU has altered the behaviour of retail price setting and/or inflation dynamics. We find no evidence that anything has changed around 1999 u2013 if anything, persistence may have slightly increased. At the end of 2001 and in the beginning of 2002 (period surrounding the euro cash changeover) retail price adjustment frequencies, both up and down, increased substantially, while the magnitude of the price adjustment, also both up and down, was smaller than otherwise. However, both settled quickly back to the earlier patterns. On the contrary, we do find evidence of a decline in the persistence of the inflation process in the mid-1990s. This could be due to a structural change in private inflationary expectations due, at least in part, to policies linked to the preparation of EMU; however, this interpretation is weakened by the fact that a similar decline occurred also in the US.
机译:令人惊讶的是,它没有,或者至少没有直接。使用欧元区引入前后前后数年的有关欧元区6个国家的消费者价格和部门通货膨胀率的微观数据,我们研究了EMU是否改变了零售价格设定和/或通货膨胀动态的行为。我们找不到任何证据表明1999年左右发生了任何变化,如果有的话,持久性可能会略有增加。在2001年底和2002年初(围绕欧元现金转换的时期),零售价格调整的频率上下波动显着增加,而价格调整的幅度(包括上下波动)也较小。 。但是,两者很快都回到了早期的模式。相反,我们确实找到了1990年代中期通货膨胀过程持续性下降的证据。这可能是由于私人通货膨胀预期发生了结构性变化,至少部分原因是与编制欧洲货币单位有关的政策;但是,这种解释由于美国也出现了类似的下降而减弱。

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