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Non-cooperative and cooperative policy reforms under uncertainty and spillovers

机译:在不确定性和溢出效应下的非合作和合作政策改革

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摘要

When countries need to implement costly economic policy reforms, these often imply uncertainties about their effectiveness for the home country and their spillovers to other countries. We develop a model to show that under these circumstances countries implement too few or too many policy reforms. From a social perspective, too many reforms follow if the spillover effects of reforms become sufficiently uncertain. Since centralization of policies to correct inefficient policies is often not possible, we look for alternative instruments that can restore the efficient level of reforms. We compare subsidizing reform e orts with insuring against bad outcomes, and argue that subsidies are advantageous in terms of requiring less information for implementation.
机译:当国家需要实施代价高昂的经济政策改革时,这些通常意味着不确定其对母国的效力以及对其他国家的溢出效应。我们开发了一个模型来显示在这种情况下,国家实施的政策改革太少或太多。从社会的角度看,如果改革的溢出效应变得足够不确定,就会进行太多的改革。由于通常不可能集中政策来纠正效率低下的政策,因此我们寻求可以恢复有效改革水平的替代工具。我们将补贴改革的方法与确保避免不良结果进行比较,并认为补贴在要求较少的实施信息方面是有利的。

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