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The Demand for Season of Birth

机译:出生季节的需求

摘要

We study the determinants of season of birth of the first child, for white married women aged 25-45 in the US, using birth certificate and Census data. We also analyze stated preferences for season of birth using our own Amazon Mechanical Turk survey. The prevalence of quarters 2 and 3 is significantly related to mother's age, education, and smoking status during pregnancy. Moreover, those who did not use assisted reproductive technology present a higher prevalence of these births. The frequency of April to September births is also higher and more strongly related to mother's age in states where cold weather is more severe, and varies with mother's occupation, exhibiting a particularly strong positive association with working in "education, training, and library" occupations. Remarkably, this relationship between season and weather disappears for mothers in "education, training, and library" occupations, revealing that season of birth is a matter of choice and preferences, not simply a biological mechanism. We find that the average willingness to pay for season of birth of mothers who report to have chosen season of birth is 19% of financial wealth while for those who report not to have chosen it is only 2% and not statistically different from zero, with the former always targeting an April to September birth. In addition, the average willingness to pay for season of birth is higher among individuals, and parents, in "education, training, and library" occupations. We also document that the top-3 reasons for choosing season of birth are mother's wellbeing, child's wellbeing, and job requirements, while those in "education, training, and library" occupations rank job requirements as the most important reason. Finally, we present evidence that babies born between April and September have on average better health at birth even conditional on the observable maternal characteristics which predict selection.
机译:我们使用出生证明和人口普查数据研究了美国25-45岁的白人已婚妇女的第一个孩子的出生季节。我们还使用我们自己的Amazon Mechanical Turk调查分析陈述的出生季节偏好。第二和第三季度的患病率与母亲的年龄,学历和怀孕期间的吸烟状况显着相关。此外,那些不使用辅助生殖技术的人的出生率更高。在寒冷天气更为严重的州,四月至九月的分娩频率也更高,并且与母亲的年龄更紧密相关,并且随母亲的职业而变化,与从事“教育,培训和图书馆”工作特别显着正相关。值得注意的是,母亲在“教育,培训和图书馆”工作中季节与天气之间的这种关系消失了,这表明出生季节是一个选择和偏爱的问题,而不仅仅是生物学机制。我们发现,报告选择生育季节的母亲的平均生育意愿是其经济财富的19%,而报告未选择生育母亲的平均意愿仅为2%,并且在统计学上与零没有差异。前者的目标始终是4月到9月。此外,在“教育,培训和图书馆”职业中,个人和父母的平均支付意愿较高。我们还记录了选择出生季节的三大原因是母亲的健康状况,孩子的健康状况和工作要求,而从事“教育,培训和图书馆”工作的人将工作要求列为最重要的原因。最后,我们提供的证据表明,即使在可预测的母体特征(可以预测选择)的条件下,四月至九月之间出生的婴儿的平均健康状况也更好。

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