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An update - Canadian non-energy exports: Past performance and future prospects

机译:更新 - 加拿大非能源出口:过往表现和未来前景

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摘要

In light of the fact that Canada was continuing to lose market share in the United States, Binette, de Munnik and Gouin-Bonenfant (2014) studied 31 Canadian non-energy export (NEX) categories to assess their individual performance. From this list, about half were expected to lead the recovery in exports. Since that time, NEX growth has picked up: about 80 per cent of the 31 categories have grown in line with, or outperformed, their respective U.S. benchmarks. Furthermore, about half are currently showing upward momentum. Many export categories highly sensitive to the exchange rate have been a key source of strength, as they benefited from the further depreciation of the Canadian dollar. In addition, a more granular analysis finds that export product categories are emerging or re-emerging from low levels. On the downside, however, some categories closely linked to commodity prices have been affected by weak activity and lower prices.
机译:鉴于加拿大继续在美国失去市场份额这一事实,Binette,de Munnik和Gouin-Bonenfant(2014)研究了31个加拿大非能源出口(NEX)类别,以评估其个人表现。从这份名单中,预计将有大约一半引领出口复苏。自那时以来,NEX的增长有所回升:在31个类别中,约有80%的增长率达到或超过了各自的美国基准。此外,目前约有一半正在显示上升势头。许多对汇率高度敏感的出口类别已经成为主要的力量来源,因为它们受益于加元的进一步贬值。此外,更精细的分析发现,出口产品类别正在从低水平出现或重新出现。但不利的一面是,与商品价格密切相关的某些类别受到疲软的活动和较低的价格的影响。

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