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An Overhaul of a Doctrine: Has Inflation Targeting Opened a New Era in Developing-country Peggers?

机译:对一个学说的彻底改革:通货膨胀目标是否在发展中国家的盯住者中开辟了新的时代?

摘要

The aim of this paper is to empirically examine the effect of a regime switch, from exchange-rate targeting (fixed exchange rate) to inflation targeting, on monetary policy in developing economies, hence adding to evidence on whether inflation targeting along with a managed float provides a better monetary policy compared to exchange-rate targeting. For this purpose, a group of developing countries that have historically experienced such a switch is analysed. This is done by an augmented interest-rate rule a-la Taylor (1993; 2001). Two methodological approaches are used: switching regression and Markov-switching method. Although both approaches have different drawbacks which compensate, still both lead to the conclusion that inflation targeting represented a real switch in developing countries. The period of inflation targeting was characterized by: a more stable economic environment; by more independent monetary-policy conduct; and by strict focus on inflation. Estimates suggest that the switch to a new monetary regime explains these results.
机译:本文的目的是对发展中经济体从汇率目标(固定汇率)到通胀目标的政权转换对发展中货币政策的影响进行实证检验,从而为通胀目标和有管理的浮动汇率制提供证据与指定汇率相比,提供了更好的货币政策。为此,分析了历史上经历过这种转换的一组发展中国家。这是通过增强的利率规则a-la Taylor(1993; 2001)完成的。使用了两种方法学方法:切换回归和马尔可夫切换方法。尽管这两种方法都有不同的缺点可以弥补,但两种方法都仍得出结论,以通胀为目标代表了发展中国家的真正转变。以通胀为目标的时期的特点是:经济环境更加稳定;通过更独立的货币政策行为;并严格关注通货膨胀。估计表明,转向新的货币制度可以解释这些结果。

著录项

  • 作者

    Petreski Marjan;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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