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Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in an Economy with Credit Constraints

机译:信贷约束经济下的货币危机与货币政策

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摘要

This paper presents a simple model of currency crises which is driven by the interplay between the credit constraints of private domestic firms and the existence of nominal price rigidities. The possibility of multiple equilibria, including a "currency crisis" equilibrium with low output and a depreciated domestic currency, results from the following mechanism: if nominal prices are "sticky", a currency depreciation leads to an increase in the foreign cur- rency debt repayment obligations of firms, and thus to a fall in their profits; this reduces firms' borrowing capacity and therefore investment and output in a credit-constrained economy, which in turn reduces the demand for the domestic currency and leads to a depreciation. We examine the impact of various shocks, including productivity, fiscal, or expectiational shocks. We then analyze the optimal monetary policy to prevent or solve currency crises. We also argue that currency crises can occur both under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes as the primary source of crises is the deteriorating balance sheet of private firms.
机译:本文提出了一种简单的货币危机模型,该模型是由私人国内公司的信贷约束与名义价格刚性的存在之间的相互作用所驱动的。多重均衡的可能性,包括低产出的“货币危机”均衡和本币贬值,是由以下机制产生的:如果名义价格“具有粘性”,则货币贬值会导致外币债务增加公司的还款义务,从而使其利润下降;这降低了企业的借贷能力,从而降低了信贷约束经济中的投资和产出,进而降低了对本币的需求并导致了贬值。我们研究了各种冲击的影响,包括生产力,财政或预期冲击。然后,我们分析最佳的货币政策,以预防或解决货币危机。我们还认为,在固定汇率和弹性汇率制度下都可能发生货币危机,因为危机的主要来源是私人企业资产负债表的恶化。

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