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Climate Variability, Seasonal Climate Forecast, and Corn Farming in Isabela, Philippines: a Farm and Household Level Analysis

机译:菲律宾伊莎贝拉的气候变率,季节性气候预测和玉米种植:农场和家庭水平分析

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摘要

Seasonal climate forecast (SCF) is one of the tools that could help farmers and decisionmakers better prepare for seasonal variability. However, a cloud of uncertainty looms over the true value of SCF to its target users. To shed light on the true value of SCF in local agricultural decisionmaking and operations, farm and household level survey was conducted. A total of 85 corn farmers from the plains and highlands of Echague and Angadanan, Isabela were interviewed. Results showed that climate and climate-related information were undoubtedly among the major factors being considered by farmers in their crop production activities. All aspects explored on the psychology of corn growers pointed to the high level of importance given to climatic conditions and SCF use. This was evident on the farmers' perceptions, attitudes, and decisionmaking processes. Though the high regard of farmers on climate forecast and information cannot be questioned, actual application of such information seemed still wanting. Reliable indigenous knowledge on climate forecasting was scarce. With corn farmers in Isabela still thirsting for climate-related information, the delivery of appropriate information and accurate forecasts should be addressed through proper extension and provision of support.
机译:季节性气候预报(SCF)是可以帮助农民和决策者更好地为季节性变化做准备的工具之一。但是,不确定性云笼罩着SCF对目标用户的真正价值。为了揭示SCF在当地农业决策和运营中的真正价值,进行了农场和家庭水平调查。采访了伊莎贝拉(Esabela)埃奇格(Echague)和安加达南(Angadanan)的高地和平原上的85位玉米种植者。结果表明,气候和与气候有关的信息无疑是农民在其作物生产活动中考虑的主要因素之一。关于玉米种植者心理的所有研究都指出,气候条件和SCF的使用具有很高的重要性。从农民的看法,态度和决策过程中可以明显看出这一点。尽管不能质疑农民对气候预报和信息的高度重视,但似乎仍需要实际应用这些信息。缺乏可靠的当地气候预报知识。由于伊莎贝拉(Isabela)的玉米农仍然渴望获得与气候有关的信息,因此应通过适当扩展和提供支持来解决提供适当信息和准确预报的问题。

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