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Why Central Banks Announce Their Objectives: Monetary Policy with Discretionary Signalling

机译:为什么中央银行宣布其目标:具有酌情信号的货币政策

摘要

This paper analyzes the use of announcements of objectives or intentions, announcements which are common in implementation of monetary policy. To analyze such announcements, this paper uses a model in which there is asymmetric information over the central banku92s objectives. This informational asymmetry is represented by a stochastic inflation target, upon which only the central bank can condition its actions. Thus, the scope is set for signalling, and the use of announcements can be seen as a way for a central bank to signal its type. This paper assumes that a central bank can signal at its own discretion and shows that while central banks with high inflation targets never use announcements, central banks with low inflation targets occasionally, but not always, will choose to reveal their private information through an announcement. At first finding is that, contrary to what a cheap-talk equilibrium suggests, the announcements may be more precise the larger the central banku92s news. Moreover, this paper shows that the frequency of announcements is unambiguously increasing in the magnitude of the central banku92s news, something that goes well in line with what is typically found in actual implementation of monetary policy.
机译:本文分析了目标或意图公告的使用,这些公告在执行货币政策时很常见。为了分析此类公告,本文使用一种模型,其中在央行目标上存在不对称信息。这种信息不对称性表现为随机通胀目标,只有中央银行才能限制其行动。因此,范围设置为发信号,并且公告的使用可以看作是中央银行发信号通知其类型的一种方式。本文假设中央银行可以自行决定是否发出信号,并表明虽然具有高通胀目标的中央银行从不使用公告,但具有低通胀目标的中央银行偶尔(但并非总是)会选择通过公告来披露其私人信息。最初的发现是,与廉价交易的平衡相反,该公告可能会更加精确,央行的新闻越多。而且,本文表明,在中央银行新闻发布的幅度上,公告的频率无疑增加了,这与实际执行货币政策时通常发现的情况非常吻合。

著录项

  • 作者

    Palmqvist Stefan;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1999
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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