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How Capital Flows Affect Economy-Wide Vulnerability and Inequality: Flow-of-Funds Analysis of Selected Asian Economies

机译:资本流动如何影响整个经济的脆弱性和不平等:亚洲经济体的资金流动分析

摘要

In contrast to the situation that preceded the 1997u20131998 Asian financial crisis, Asia today is a region with excess savings where corporate savings dominate. In the mid-2000s, the extent of liquidity was further amplified by massive capital flows, particularly bank-led flows. The flows were briefly interrupted by the global financial crisis, before debt-led flows began to dominate, following the Quantitative Easing (QE) policy in the United States. Using flow-of-funds data, this study determines that the surge in liquidity in Asian financial systems has changed the behavior of agents and institutions. The general trend shows that agent references for investing in financial instruments have increased as financial liberalization provides more opportunities to do so. This can have economy-wide repercussions, ranging from financial instability to widening income disparity and falling employment elasticity. In the banking sector, an increase in non-core sources of funding influences banksu2019 asset allocation, with loans increasing rapidly, escalating the risks of pro-cyclicality and asset bubble creation.
机译:与1997年 u20131998亚洲金融危机之前的情况相反,今天的亚洲是一个储蓄过多的地区,其中企业储蓄占主导。在2000年代中期,大量的资本流动,特别是银行主导的流动,进一步扩大了流动性。在美国实行量化宽松(QE)政策之后,债务主导的资金流开始占主导地位之前,资金流暂时受到全球金融危机的干扰。利用资金流量数据,这项研究确定了亚洲金融系统中流动性的激增已经改变了代理商和机构的行为。总体趋势表明,随着金融自由化提供更多的机会,代理商对金融工具进行投资的参考文献也有所增加。这可能会对整个经济产生影响,从金融不稳定到收入差距扩大和就业弹性下降。在银行业,非核心资金来源的增加影响了银行的资产配置,贷款迅速增加,加剧了顺周期性和资产泡沫形成的风险。

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