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Trade with China and India and manufacturing labour demand in Argentina

机译:与中国和印度的贸易以及阿根廷的制造业劳动力需求

摘要

For many in Latin America, the increasing participation of China and India in international markets is seen as a looming shadow of two mighty giants on the region's manufacturing sector. Are they really mighty giants when it comes to their impact on manufacturing employment? This paper attempts to answer this question by estimating the effects of trade with China and India on Argentina's industrial employment. We use a dynamic econometric model and industry level data to estimate the effects of trade with China and India on the level of employment in Argentina's manufacturing sector. Results suggest that trade with China and India only had a small negative effect on industrial employment, even during the swift trade liberalization of the 1990s.
机译:对于拉丁美洲的许多人来说,中国和印度越来越多地参与国际市场被视为该地区制造业中两个强大的巨头的隐约阴影。在影响制造业就业方面,他们真的是强大的巨头吗?本文试图通过估计与中国和印度的贸易对阿根廷工业就业的影响来回答这个问题。我们使用动态计量经济学模型和行业水平数据来估计与中国和印度的贸易对阿根廷制造业就业水平的影响。结果表明,即使在1990年代迅速的贸易自由化期间,与中国和印度的贸易对工业就业也只有很小的负面影响。

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