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A New Taxonomy of Sudden Stops: Which Sudden Stops Should Countries Be Most Concerned About?

机译:突然停止的新分类:哪些国家最关注的突然停止?

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摘要

This paper proposes a new taxonomy of Sudden Stops comprised of seven categories with definitions depending on the behavior of gross and net capital flows. The incidence of different types of Sudden Stops is tracked over time and the type of Sudden Stop related to economic performance. Sudden Stops in Net Flows associated with reductions in Gross Inflows are more disruptive than those where surges in (only) Gross Outflows dominate. The paper further discusses the mechanisms that might result in Sudden Stops in Gross Flows that are not Sudden Stops in Net Flows, such that shifts in financial assets or liabilities do not require a sharp current account adjustment. Still, it is found that Sudden Stops in Gross Inflows that do not provoke a sharp contraction in Net Flows may also be disruptive, including Sudden Stops that are driven by 'other flows' -which include banking flows. The results suggest new avenues for research and future policy analysis.
机译:本文提出了一种新的“突然停止”分类法,该分类法由七个类别组成,其定义取决于总和净资本流动的行为。随着时间的推移,将跟踪不同类型的突发事件的发生率,并且突发事件的类型与经济表现相关。与(仅)总流出激增占主导的净流入相比,与总流入减少相关的净流量突然停止更具破坏性。本文进一步讨论了可能导致总流量突然停止而不是净流量突然停止的机制,这样金融资产或负债的变动不需要经常账户经常调整。仍然发现,总流入的突然停止不会引起净流量的急剧收缩,这也可能是破坏性的,包括由“其他流量”驱动的突然停止-包括银行流量。结果为研究和未来政策分析提供了新途径。

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