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Why humans care about sunk costs while animals don't: an evolutionary explanation

机译:为什么人类关心沉没成本,而动物则不关心:进化解释

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摘要

While humans often care about sunk investment, animals are not subject to this sort of sunk cost behavior or u93Concorde fallacyu94. This paper investigates a simple two stage decision problem under uncertainty. At the second stage, subjects can commit the Concorde fallacy by sticking to the first stage decision, independent of the state of nature revealed in-between. We investigate whether this can be beneficial in a standard payoff monotonic adaptation process. Committing the Concorde fallacy reduces the payoffs but accelerates the adaptation since it acts like u93self-punishmentu94. It will, however, not only reduce the population growth rate in the long run but also the population size at any point in time in a biological evolutionary process. In this sense, animals can never benefit from the Concorde fallacy. Risk aversion gives an extra benefit to a behavior that more rapidly learns to avoid bad outcomes. If the wrong initial decision leads occasionally, albeit very infrequently, to a very low payoff, then risk averse humans will be better off by committing the Concorde fallacy.
机译:尽管人们经常在乎沉没的投资,但动物却不受这种沉没的成本行为或“谬误”的影响。本文研究了不确定性下的一个简单的两阶段决策问题。在第二阶段,受试者可以通过坚持第一阶段的决定而犯下协和式谬论,而与中间的自然状态无关。我们调查这是否可以在标准收益单调适应过程中受益。犯协和式谬论会减少收益,但会加快适应过程,因为它的行为就像“自我惩罚”一样。但是,它不仅会长期降低种群增长率,而且还会降低生物进化过程中任何时间点的种群规模。从这个意义上讲,动物永远不会从协和式谬论中受益。规避风险为行为提供了额外的好处,这种行为可以更快地学会避免不良后果。如果错误的初始决定偶尔(尽管很少)导致回报很低,那么犯下协和式谬论的人会更好地规避风险。

著录项

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    Huf6ffler Felix;

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  • 年度 2005
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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