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Decarbonizing Europeu2019s power sector by 2050 - Analyzing the implications of alternative decarbonization pathways

机译:到2050年将欧洲电力部门脱碳 - 分析替代脱碳途径的影响

摘要

In this paper, the implications of alternative decarbonization pathways for Europe's power sector up until the year 2050 are analyzed. In speci fic, an electricity system optimization model is used to investigate the minimal costs of decarbonization under a stand-alone CO2 reduction target and to quantify the excess costs associated with renewable energy targets and politically implemented restrictions on alternative lowcarbon technologies, such as nuclear power. Our numerical simulations con firm the theoretical argumentation concerning counterproductive overlapping regulation. The decarbonization of Europe's power sector is found to be achieved at minimal costs under a stand-alone CO2 reduction target (171 bn u20ac2010). Additionally implemented RES-E targets lead to signi cant excess costs of at least 237 bn u20ac2010. Excess costs of a complete nuclear phase-out in Europe by 2050 are of the same order of magnitude (274 bn u20ac2010).
机译:在本文中,分析了直至2050年替代性脱碳途径对欧洲电力行业的影响。具体而言,电力系统优化模型用于研究独立的二氧化碳减排目标下的最低脱碳成本,并量化与可再生能源目标以及对替代性低碳技术(例如核电)的政治实施限制相关的超额成本。我们的数值模拟证实了有关适得其反的重叠调节的理论观点。在独立的二氧化碳减排目标(1,710亿欧元)下,欧洲电力部门的脱碳工作被发现以最低的成本实现。额外实施的RES-E目标导致至少2370亿欧元的超额费用。到2050年,欧洲完全核淘汰所需的超额成本在同一数量级(2740亿欧元)。

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