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Money Overhang, Credit Overhang and Financial Imbalances in the Euro Area

机译:货币过剩,信贷过剩和欧元区财政失衡

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摘要

This paper focusses on the relation between external imbalances and domestic money and credit growth in the euro area. We compute money and credit overhang both for the euro area as a whole and for individual member countries. Our results show that both aggregate money and credit overhang have trend-like increased since the early 2000s. The increase in money overhang has been rather evenly spread over the member states but the increase in credit overhang has been unevenly spread and has mainly occurred in the GIIP. We apply panel analysis to detect temporal patterns between the developments in money overhang, credit overhang and external indebtedness. Looking at the groups of GIPS countries in isolation, net debt flows do play a significant role to explain money and credit overhang.
机译:本文着重于欧元区外部失衡与国内货币与信贷增长之间的关系。我们计算整个欧元区以及单个成员国的货币和信贷余额。我们的结果表明,自2000年代初以来,总的货币和信贷余额都呈趋势增长。资金过剩的增加在各成员国中平均分配,但信贷过剩的增加分配不均,主要发生在GIIP中。我们应用面板分析来检测货币悬架,信贷悬架和外部债务之间的时间格局变化。孤立地看待GIPS国家集团,净债务流动确实在解释货币和信贷过剩方面发挥着重要作用。

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