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Estimation of the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters that is robust to level shifts and deterministic trends

机译:估计对记录水平变化和确定性趋势具有鲁棒性的长记忆随机波动率模型参数

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摘要

I provide conditions under which the trimmed FDQML estimator, advanced by McCloskey (2010) in the context of fully parametric short-memory models, can be used to estimate the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters in the presence of additive low-frequency contamination in log-squared returns. The types of lowfrequency contamination covered include level shifts as well as deterministic trends. I establish consistency and asymptotic normality in the presence or absence of such lowfrequency contamination under certain conditions on the growth rate of the trimming parameter. I also provide theoretical guidance on the choice of trimming parameter by heuristically obtaining its asymptotic MSE-optimal rate under certain types of lowfrequency contamination. A simulation study examines the finite sample properties of the robust estimator, showing substantial gains from its use in the presence of level shifts. The finite sample analysis also explores how different levels of trimming affect the parameter estimates in the presence and absence of low-frequency contamination and long-memory.
机译:我提供了条件,在存在附加低频污染的情况下,由McCloskey(2010)在完全参数化短时记忆模型的背景下提出的经过修剪的FDQML估计器可用于估计长时记忆随机波动率模型参数。对数平方的回报。涵盖的低频污染的类型包括水平移动以及确定性趋势。在修整参数的增长率上,在某些条件下是否存在这样的低频污染,我建立了一致性和渐近正态性。我还通过启发式地获得某些类型的低频污染下其渐近MSE最优速率,为修整参数的选择提供了理论指导。仿真研究检查了鲁棒估计器的有限样本属性,显示了在存在电平偏移时使用它的可观收益。有限样本分析还探讨了在存在和不存在低频污染和长记忆的情况下,不同水平的修整如何影响参数估计。

著录项

  • 作者

    McCloskey Adam;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2012
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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