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Public debt and the political economy of reforms

机译:公共债务和改革的政治经济学

摘要

We consider a model of redistributive politics in which politicians have the possibility to raise some debt and to implement a pie-increasing reform, i.e. a reform creating a net increase in the total taxable endowment. The reform benefits occur in the future and the reform costs have to be paid today, but both benefits and costs can be perfectly redistributed across voters in the period in which they occur. Voters are perfectly forward-looking and ex-ante homogeneous, and politicians are purely office-motivated. As main result, we show that a limit on debt that is sufficiently more restrictive than the natural debt limit will prevent the implementation of the reform. Such a debt limit forces the reforming candidate to pursue an overly egalitarian strategy of redistribution making it possible for a non-reforming candidate to use his better targeting capacity to win a majority of voters.
机译:我们考虑一种重新分配政治的模型,在这种模型中,政治人物有可能增加一些债务并实施增加饼图的改革,即通过改革使应税捐赠总额净增加。改革收益会在未来出现,而改革成本必须在今天支付,但是收益和成本可以在发生期间在选民之间完美地重新分配。选民具有完全的前瞻性和事前同质性,而政客纯粹是出于办公室动机。作为主要结果,我们表明,对债务的限制要比自然债务的限制更具限制性,这将阻止改革的实施。这样的债务限制迫使改革的候选人奉行过分平均的重新分配战略,这使得未改革的候选人有可能利用其更好的针对性来赢得多数选民。

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