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Likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend and cross-sectional dependence

机译:在存在线性时间趋势和横截面依赖性的情况下基于似然的面板协整检验

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摘要

This paper proposes a new likelihood-based panel cointegration rank test which extends the test of Orsal and Droge (2012) (henceforth Panel SL test) to allow for crosssectional dependence. The dependence is modelled by unobserved common factors which affect the variables in each cross-section through heterogeneous loadings. The common components are estimated following the panel analysis of nonstationarity in idiosyncratic and common components (PANIC) approach of Bai and Ng (2004) and the estimates are subtracted from the observations. The cointegrating rank of the defactored data is then tested by the Panel SL test. A Monte Carlo study demonstrates that the proposed testing procedure has reasonable size and power properties in finite samples.
机译:本文提出了一种新的基于似然的面板协整秩检验,该检验扩展了Orsal和Droge(2012)的检验(此后称为面板SL检验)以允许横截面相关性。依赖关系是通过未观察到的公共因素建模的,这些因素会通过非均匀载荷影响每个横截面中的变量。在对Bai和Ng(2004)的特质和通用分量(PANIC)方法的非平稳性进行面板分析之后,估算了通用分量,并从观察值中减去了估算值。然后,通过Panel SL测试对分解数据的协整等级进行测试。蒙特卡洛研究表明,所提出的测试程序在有限的样本中具有合理的尺寸和功率特性。

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