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The Impact of Refugee Crises on Host Labor Markets: The Case of the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Turkey

机译:难民危机对东道国劳动力市场的影响 - 以土耳其叙利亚难民危机为例

摘要

The civil war in Syria has culminated into major refugee crises in its neighboring countries. By the end of 2013 more than half a million people were seeking shelter in cities and refugee camps in Turkey. We analyze how the Syrian refugee influx in Turkey has affected food and housing prices, employment rates and internal migration patterns in regions of Turkey where refugees are being accommodated. Refugee camps are geographically concentrated near the Syrian border, which enables us to employ the rest of regional Turkey as control group with a difference-in-difference approach to analyze the impact on local economies. Our findings suggest that housing and to a lesser degree food prices increased, but employment rates of natives in various skill groups are largely unaffected. Incumbent natives appear to be staying put considering the limited migration out of the region, but there is a significant decline in internal migration into regions hosting refugees. Nevertheless, the decline in internal in-migration is less than a tenth of the refugee influx, implying that there is little evidence of refugees crowding out natives in local labor markets.
机译:叙利亚内战最终在其邻国引发了严重的难民危机。到2013年底,超过半百万的人正在土耳其的城市和难民营中寻求庇护。我们分析了叙利亚难民涌入土耳其如何影响收容难民的土耳其地区的食物和住房价格,就业率和内部移民方式。难民营在地理上集中在叙利亚边境附近,这使我们能够采用差异方法来分析土耳其其他地区作为对照组,以分析对当地经济的影响。我们的研究结果表明,住房和食品价格的上涨幅度有所提高,但各个技能组的当地人的就业率基本上未受影响。考虑到离开该地区的移民有限,现任土著人似乎仍会呆在原地,但是进入收容难民地区的内部移民却大大减少了。然而,内部移民的减少不到难民涌入的十分之一,这表明很少有迹象表明难民在当地劳动力市场上挤占了当地人。

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