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Analysis of Monetary Policy Responses after Financial Market Crises in a Continuous Time New Keynesian Model

机译:金融市场危机后连续时期新凯恩斯模型的货币政策响应分析

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摘要

We develop a dynamic stochastic full equilibrium New Keynesian model of two open economies based on stochastic differential equations to analyse the interdependence between monetary policy and financial markets in the context of the recent financial crisis. The effect of bubbles on stock and housing markets and their transmission to the domestic real economy and the contagious effects on foreign markets are studied. We simulate adjustment paths for the economies under two monetary policy rules: an open-economy Taylor rule and a modified Taylor rule, which takes into account stabilisation of financial markets as a monetary policy objective. We find that for the price of a strong hike in inflation a severe economic recession can be avoided under the modified rule. Using Bayesian estimation techniques, we calibrate the model to the case of the United States and Canada and find that the resulting
机译:我们基于随机微分方程建立了两个开放经济体的动态随机完全均衡新凯恩斯模型,以分析最近一次金融危机背景下货币政策与金融市场之间的相互依赖性。研究了泡沫对股票和住房市场的影响及其向国内实体经济的传导以及对外国市场的传染性影响。我们模拟了两种货币政策规则下的经济调整路径:开放经济泰勒规则和修正泰勒规则,该规则考虑到将金融市场稳定作为货币政策目标。我们发现,由于通货膨胀率大幅上涨的价格,在修改后的规则下可以避免严重的经济衰退。使用贝叶斯估计技术,我们将模型校准为美国和加拿大的情况,发现

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  • 作者

    Niehof Britta; Hayo Bernd;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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