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Cooperation in transboundary water sharing under climate change

机译:气候变化下跨界水资源共享合作

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摘要

As multiple countries share a river, the likelihood of a water resource conflict from climate change could be higher between countries. In this paper, we demonstrate how countries can cooperate in transboundary water sharing in a sustainable way, given the impacts of climate change. We illustrate the case of water sharing of the Volta River between the upstream and downstream country, Burkina Faso and Ghana respectively, where the latter country faces a tradeoff of water use between agriculture in the north and production of hydro energy in the south. In the framework of a stochastic Stackelberg differential game, we have shown how the issue of water sharing could be linked to hydropower export that can make water sharing between the countries sustaining in the event of climate change. Our results indicate that during cooperation, Ghana will have an opportunity to increase its water abstraction for agriculture, which has remained largely restricted. We also find that the equilibrium strategies in the long run steady state distribution are stable even with increasing variances of water flow.
机译:由于多个国家共享一条河流,因此各国之间因气候变化而发生水资源冲突的可能性可能更高。在本文中,我们展示了在气候变化的影响下,各国如何以可持续的方式在跨界水资源共享方面进行合作。我们举例说明了上游国家和下游国家布基纳法索和加纳之间的伏尔塔河水共享的情况,后者在北部国家的农业与南部国家的水能生产之间面临着用水权衡。在随机的斯塔克尔伯格差分博弈框架内,我们已经展示了如何将水资源共享问题与水电出口联系起来,从而在发生气候变化时使各国之间的水资源共享得以维持。我们的结果表明,在合作期间,加纳将有机会增加其对农业的取水量,但该取水量仍然受到很大限制。我们还发现,即使水流变化增加,长期稳态分布中的平衡策略也是稳定的。

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