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The Effects of BRICS and MATIK Countries on World Economy and Cointegration Analysis in the Long Term Relation with G-7 Growth Rates (1962-2012)

机译:与G-7生长理事会长期合作关系对世界经济和协整分析金砖国家和maTIK国家的影响(1962至2012年)

摘要

In this article, long term data is analyzed for the total growth of the world economy and the growth of developed (G7) and of the rapid developing economies. BRICS countries are known countries with their meetings since 2008. Rapidly developing countries such as Mexico, Argentina, Turkey, Indonesia and Korea are defined as MATIK in this analysis except the countries for BRICS meeting. Especially, the basic hypotheses of this study is that BRICS+MATIK countries whose economic shares slowly increase were compared with G-7 and the global economy, i) Help of BRICS+MATIK economies rapidly increase for the growth rate of world economy: ii) Theyu2019re the hypotheses that BRICS+MATIK economies are cointegrated with the growth of world economy in long term. In this way, it may be possible that the help of G-7 is compared with the help of BRICS+MATIK economies for the growth of world economy. The study uses the annual data of the 1962-2012 periods. Time series analysis is used to test the hypotheses. The most important finding is that BRICS+MATIK economies affect the growth rate of world economy, and it constantly increases as statistic according to the help of G-7.The result has been acquired that World, G-7, and BRICS+MATIK economies cointegrated in the long term.
机译:在本文中,分析了世界经济总量以及发达经济体(G7)和快速发展经济体的增长的长期数据。金砖国家是自2008年以来举行会议的知名国家。在本分析中,快速发展中国家(如墨西哥,阿根廷,土耳其,印度尼西亚和韩国)被定义为MATIK,但金砖国家会议的国家除外。尤其是,这项研究的基本假设是,经济份额缓慢增长的金砖国家+ MATIK国家与七国集团和全球经济进行了比较; i)金砖国家+ MATIK经济的帮助随着世界经济的增长而迅速增加:ii)它们是金砖四国与MATIK经济体长期与世界经济增长并存的假说。这样一来,就有可能将七国集团的援助与金砖四国+ MATIK经济体的援助相提并论,以促进世界经济的增长。该研究使用了1962-2012年期间的年度数据。时间序列分析用于检验假设。最重要的发现是金砖四国+ MATIK经济体影响着世界经济的增长率,并且在G-7的帮助下以统计的形式不断增长,其结果是世界,七国集团和金砖四国+ MATIK经济体从长远来看是协整的。

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  • 作者

    Kargi Bilal;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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