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The Impact of Experience on Risk Taking, Overconfidence, and Herding of Fund Managers: Complementary Survey Evidence

机译:经验对基金经理风险承担,过度自信和羊群效应的影响:补充调查证据

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摘要

Empirical research has shown that inexperienced fund managers yield significantly higher returns than their more experienced colleagues. If the portfolios of inexperienced are not more risky, this result would contradict the hypothesis of market efficiency. Therefore, it is an important question whether inexperienced fund managers tend to taker higher risks. Higher risk taking may be explained by a higher degree of overconfidence, less herding behavior, or a lower degree of risk aversion. Since the results concerning the relationship between experience and risk taking in previous studies are rather contradictory we analyze whether complementary survey evidence can improve our understanding in this field. In line with the results of previous studies, we find that herding is decreasing with experience while the evidence concerning risk taking and overconfidence is mixed. We will argue that this mixed evidence may be likely due to the heterogeneity in the employed definitions of risk taking and overconfidence.
机译:实证研究表明,经验不足的基金经理比经验丰富的同事产生的收益要高得多。如果没有经验的投资组合的风险更大,则此结果将与市场效率的假设相矛盾。因此,一个缺乏经验的基金经理是否倾向于承担更高的风险是一个重要的问题。较高的承担风险可能是由于较高的过度自信,较少的羊群行为或较低的风险规避程度造成的。由于先前研究中有关经验和冒险之间关系的结果相当矛盾,因此我们分析补充调查证据是否可以增进我们对该领域的了解。与以前的研究结果一致,我们发现随着经验的增长,放牧现象正在减少,而关于冒险和过度自信的证据则是混杂的。我们将争辩说,这种混合的证据可能是由于所采用的冒险和过度自信定义之间的异质性。

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