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Insufficient investment into future growth: the forgotten cause of low growth in Germany

机译:对未来增长的投资不足:德国低增长的被遗忘的原因

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摘要

There is a consensus that within the European Union, Germany is presently the country lagging farthest behind in terms of economic dynamics. Most researchers blame rising wages, welfare costs, and overregulated labour markets for this poor position. Some add that as a result of membership in the European Monetary Union, Germany lost the advantage of having low interest rates. To a certain extent, all view German unification as a prime culprit. This article acknowledges that although these factors have contributed to the recent underperformance of Germany, another major reason has been overlooked. A problem was brewing in Germany long before unification, namely the danger of being a high wage country specialised in medium technologies. We show that Germany neither increased its investment into research and education, nor did it embrace ICT technology. Germany lost its position as the European leader in research expenditures relative to GDP. For a set of 16 growth drivers, the dynamics of investment into research, education and information technology during the nineties were the slowest of all EU countries, and according to a quantitative indicator of total investment into the future Germany ranked second to last. Investment into future growth is specifically crucial when costs are high and markets are strictly regulated. Comparing the three potential reasons for low growth, namely underinvestment into growth drivers, rising costs and strict regulation, we find the first one to be the most important growth blocker and the least acknowledged in the German debate.
机译:大家一致认为,在欧盟内部,德国目前是经济发展最落后的国家。大多数研究人员将此归咎于工资水平的上升,福利成本的增加以及劳动力市场的过度监管。一些人补充说,由于加入了欧洲货币联盟,德国失去了低利率的优势。在一定程度上,所有人都将德国统一视为罪魁祸首。本文承认,尽管这些因素导致了德国最近的表现不佳,但另一个主要原因却被忽略了。在统一之前很早就在德国酝酿了一个问题,即成为专门从事中等技术的高薪国家的危险。我们表明,德国既未增加对研究和教育的投资,也未接受ICT技术。德国在相对于GDP的研究支出方面失去了欧洲领导者的地位。在一组16个增长驱动因素中,九十年代对研究,教育和信息技术的投资动态是所有欧盟国家中最慢的,根据对未来总投资的定量指标,德国排名倒数第二。当成本高昂且市场受到严格监管时,对未来增长进行投资尤为关键。比较低增长的三个潜在原因,即对增长驱动器的投资不足,成本上升和严格的监管,我们发现第一个是最重要的增长障碍,也是德国辩论中最不被认可的。

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    Aiginger Karl;

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  • 年度 2003
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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