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The microstructure of China's government bond market

机译:中国政府债券市场的微观结构

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摘要

Although China now has one of the largest government bond markets in the world, the market has received relatively little attention and analysis. We describe the history and structure of the market and assess its functioning. We find that trading in individual bonds was historically sparse but has increased markedly in recent years. We find also that certain announcements of macroeconomic news, such as China's producer price index (PPI) and manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), have significant effects on yields, even when such yields are measured at a daily level. Despite the increased activity in the market, we are able to reject the null hypothesis of market efficiency under two different tests for four of the most actively traded bonds.
机译:尽管中国现在是世界上最大的政府债券市场之一,但该市场却很少受到关注和分析。我们描述了市场的历史和结构,并评估了其功能。我们发现,个人债券的交易历来很少,但近年来却显着增加。我们还发现,某些宏观经济新闻公告,例如中国的生产者价格指数(PPI)和制造业采购经理人指数(PMI),即使以每日水平衡量此类收益,也会对收益产生重大影响。尽管市场活动增加,但我们可以通过对两种交易最为活跃的债券进行两种不同的测试来拒绝市场效率的零假设。

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