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Time lags in the pass-through of crude-oil prices: Big data evidence from the German gasoline market

机译:时间滞后于原油价格的传递:来自德国汽油市场的大数据证据

摘要

This note investigates the pass-through of global Brent oil notations to fuel prices across the oligopoly of retail majors in Germany. We assemble a high-frequency panel data set that encompasses millions of price observations and allows us to distinguish effects by brand. Upon establishing a cointegrating relationship between fuel and crude-oil prices using daily data, we estimate an error-correction model (ECM) and find that (1) the pass-through of oil prices critically depends on the number of time lags included in the ECM, (2) strict adherence to classical information criteria for determining lag length yields extremely long pass-through durations, and (3) the estimated impulse response functions are virtually identical across brands, irrespective of the lag count, suggesting a high degree of competition among brands.
机译:本说明调查了全球布伦特石油符号在德国零售业巨头的寡头垄断中对燃油价格的传导作用。我们组装了一个高频面板数据集,其中包含数百万个价格观察值,并允许我们按品牌区分效果。在使用每日数据建立燃料价格与原油价格之间的协整关系后,我们估算了误差校正模型(ECM),发现(1)石油价格的传递主要取决于包含在模型中的时间滞后的数量。 ECM,(2)严格遵循经典信息标准来确定滞后时间会产生极长的通过时间,并且(3)估计的冲激响应函数在各个品牌之间几乎相同,而与滞后次数无关,这表明竞争激烈品牌之间。

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