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Economic development potential through IP telephony for Namibia

机译:纳米比亚通过Ip电话的经济发展潜力

摘要

The aim of this study is to evaluate the economic development potential for Namibia through IP telephony. First, background information on the telecommunication sector in Namibia is given. Then, the link between the ICT sector and GDP growth is being investigated. Granger causality tests indicated unilateral causality from GDP growth to telecommunications investment. Due to the small sample size, the causality tests could only be carried out for a lag length of 4, i.e. one year. The analysis might have yielded different result using a larger sample and a longer lag length. The potential impact of IP telephony for Namibia is evaluated using mainly descriptive means due to the lack of data availability. The conclusions drawn from this study are that IP telephony will affect developing countries sooner or later. IP telephony addresses two of the four cost factors of distance. It can make it cheaper to search for trading partners and reduce the cost of managing and monitoring distant production facilities. IP telephony offers the opportunity to improve competitiveness and to attract foreign direct investment, but it also poses the threat of being left behind if opportunities are not seized. In the final analysis, the paper argues that developing countries might be able to gain a comparative advantage by implementing IP telephony sooner rather than later.
机译:这项研究的目的是通过IP电话评估纳米比亚的经济发展潜力。首先,给出了纳米比亚电信行业的背景信息。然后,正在研究ICT部门与GDP增长之间的联系。 Granger因果关系检验表明从GDP增长到电信投资的单方面因果关系。由于样本量较小,因果关系测试只能在4个滞后时间(即一年)内进行。使用更大的样本和更长的延迟时间,分析可能会得出不同的结果。由于缺乏数据可用性,主要使用描述性手段评估了IP电话对纳米比亚的潜在影响。这项研究得出的结论是IP电话迟早会影响发展中国家。 IP电话解决了四个距离成本因素中的两个。这样可以更便宜地寻找贸易伙伴,并减少管理和监视远方生产设施的成本。 IP电话为提高竞争力和吸引外国直接投资提供了机会,但是如果不抓住机遇,它也会带来被抛在后面的威胁。归根结底,该论文认为,发展中国家早日实施IP电话可能会获得比较优势。

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