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The effect of weather-induced internal migration on local labor markets: Evidence from Uganda

机译:天气引起的内部迁移对当地实验室市场的影响:乌干达的证据

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摘要

Relying on census data collected in 2002 and historical weather data for Uganda, we estimate the impact of weather-induced internal migration on the probability for non-migrants living in the destination regions to be employed. Our results reveal a significant negative impact. Consistent with the prediction of a simple theoretical model, they further show that this negative impact is significantly stronger in regions with lower road density and therefore less conducive to capital mobility: a 10 percentage points increase in the net in-migration rate in these areas decreases the probability of being employed of non-migrants by more than 20 percentage points.
机译:根据2002年收集的人口普查数据和乌干达的历史天气数据,我们估计天气引起的内部迁移对居住在目的地地区的非移民就业概率的影响。我们的结果显示出重大的负面影响。与简单理论模型的预测一致,他们进一步表明,在道路密度较低的地区,这种负面影响更加明显,因此不利于资本流动:这些地区的净移民率增加10个百分点被非移民雇用的可能性超过20个百分点。

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