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Asia's international production networks: Will India be the next assembly centre?

机译:亚洲的国际生产网络:印度将成为下一个装配中心吗?

摘要

This paper analyses the current state of participation of India in the international production networks (IPNs) of manufacturing industries in Asia, and identifies the constraints and challenges for India's deeper participation in the near future. Using the disaggregated 5 digit SITC (Rev 3) level data, the estimates of intra-industry trade and export revealed comparative advantage in Parts and Components (P&C) in India's manufacturing sector are analysed separately from that of total trade flows over the period from 1994 and 2008. This provides useful insights into the nature and magnitude of production fragmentation involving Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The analysis demonstrates that India has reoriented its growth strategy, towards an outward orientation, during the past two decades, but the pace of its reform has not caught up with this paradigm shift. As a result, the level of participation by Indian industries in global and in Asian IPNs is low. Most of India's exports comprise lowtechnology, labour-intensive goods that do not involve much fragmentation, such as textiles, gems and jewellery and animal and leather products. Five key policy recommendations are proposed, based on the current state of India's participation in IPNs and the associated policy challenges. It is particularly noted that India's existing Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) do not appear to be designed with the objective of reducing the costs involved in setting up an IPN. A critical review is therefore required of India's current PTAs, including more inputs from businesses, to identify specific areas of gains from PTAs in order to create a business environment that would make India a potential assembly centre for global manufacturing activities in the near future. Implementation integrity and effective utilization of PTAs involving India and member countries will also be a key to whether PTAs will be successfully able to play a role in plugging India into global and Asian IPNs.
机译:本文分析了印度参与亚洲制造业国际生产网络(IPN)的现状,并确定了印度在不久的将来更深入地参与其中的制约因素和挑战。使用分类后的5位数SITC(Rev 3)级数据,分别分析了印度制造业中零件和组件(P&C)的行业内贸易和出口的比较优势,以及总贸易流量在1994年以来的比较优势。和2008年。这为涉及外国直接投资(FDI)的生产分散的性质和规模提供了有用的见解。分析表明,在过去的二十年中,印度已将其增长战略重新定位为外向型,但其改革步伐并未赶上这种范式转变。结果,印度工业界参与全球和亚洲IPN的水平很低。印度的大部分出口产品包括技术含量低,劳动强度大,不涉及很多零碎产品的产品,例如纺织品,宝石和珠宝以及动物和皮革制品。根据印度参与IPN的现状以及相关的政策挑战,提出了五项关键的政策建议。特别要指出的是,印度现有的优惠贸易协定(PTA)似乎并非旨在降低建立IPN所涉及的成本的目的。因此,需要对印度当前的PTA进行严格审查,包括企业的更多投入,以查明PTA所带来的收益的特定领域,以创造一个商业环境,使印度在不久的将来成为全球制造业活动的潜在组装中心。涉及印度和成员国的PTA的实施完整性和有效利用也将成为PTA是否能够成功发挥作用,将印度纳入全球和亚洲IPN的关键。

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