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Financial contagion and the European debt crisis

机译:金融危机蔓延和欧债危机

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摘要

Since the beginning of 2010, the Euro Area faces a severe sovereign debt crisis, now generally known as the Euro Crisis. While the Euro Crisis has its origin in Greece, problems have now spread to several other European countries as well. Dynamic conditional correlation models (DCC) are estimated in order to assess if contagious effects are identifiable during the Euro Crisis, or if the countries' problems are instead due to fundamental problems in the affected economies. Our findings show that there is contagion within the Euro Area. Additionally, contagious effects generated by rating announcements are documented. These results are crucial when it comes to choosing the correct measure and timing of policy intervention.
机译:自2010年初以来,欧元区面临着严重的主权债务危机,现在通常被称为欧元危机。尽管欧洲危机起源于希腊,但问题现在也蔓延到其他几个欧洲国家。估计动态条件相关模型(DCC),以评估在欧元危机期间是否可以识别出传染性影响,或者评估这些国家的问题是否是由于受影响经济体的根本问题所致。我们的发现表明,欧元区内部存在蔓延。此外,还记录了评级公告产生的传染性影响。当选择正确的政策干预措施和时机时,这些结果至关重要。

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