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Why are Prices Sticky? Evidence from Business Survey Data

机译:为什么价格粘滞?商业调查数据的证据

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摘要

This paper offers new insights on the price setting behaviour of German retail firms using a novel dataset that consists of a large panel of monthly business surveys from 1991-2006. The firm-level data allows matching changes in firms' prices to several other firm-characteristics. Moreover, information on price expectations allow analyzing the determinants of price updating. Using univariate and bivariate ordered probit specifications, empirical menu cost models are estimated relating the probability of price adjustment and price updating, respectively, to both time- and state- dependent variables. First, results suggest an important role for state-dependence; changes in the macroeconomic and institutional environment as well as firm-specific factors are significantly related to the timing of price adjustment. These findings imply that price setting models should endogenize the timing of price adjustment in order to generate realistic predictions concerning the transmission of monetary policy. Second, an analysis of price expectations yields similar results providing evidence in favour of state-dependent sticky plan models. Third, intermediate input cost changes are among the most important determinants of price adjustment suggesting that pricing models should explicitly incorporate price setting at different production stages. However, the results show that adjustment to input cost changes takes time indicating "additional stickiness" at the last stage of processing.
机译:本文使用一个新颖的数据集,提供了有关德国零售公司价格设定行为的新见解,该数据集包含大量1991-2006年的每月商业调查。公司级数据可以使公司价格变化与其他几种公司特征相匹配。此外,有关价格预期的信息可以分析价格更新的决定因素。使用单变量和双变量有序概率规范,可以估算经验菜单成本模型,将价格调整和价格更新的概率分别与时间和状态相关的变量相关联。首先,结果表明了国家依赖性的重要作用。宏观经济和制度环境的变化以及企业特有的因素与价格调整的时间显着相关。这些发现表明,价格设定模型应该内生于价格调整的时机,以便产生有关货币政策传导的现实预测。其次,对价格预期的分析得出相似的结果,为支持依赖于状态的粘性计划模型提供了证据。第三,中间投入成本的变化是价格调整的最重要决定因素之一,这表明定价模型应明确纳入不同生产阶段的价格设定。但是,结果表明,在处理的最后阶段,调整输入成本变化需要花费时间,表明“附加粘性”。

著录项

  • 作者

    Schenkelberg Heike;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2011
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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