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Cost estimate classification and accuracy for Major Industrial Plant Projects (MIPP) versus building construction in Germany

机译:主要工业厂房项目(mIpp)与德国建筑施工的成本估算分类和准确性

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摘要

Ongoing pressure on prices for construction projects adds to the significance of cost estimation accuracy in building construction. Due to competition from Asian entrants, main contractors in the plant engineering industry are starting to face a similar situation. In the present paper, the cost estimation standards for Major Industrial Plant Projects (MIPP) are analyzed and compared with the cost estimation standards for Building Construction (BC). The research method uses a literature and standards review, comparing MIPP cost estimation guidelines by the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering (AACE) with a guideline known as the 'cone of cost' following the Official Scale of Fees for Services by Architects and Engineers (German: HOAI) for comparable phases of performance. It is shown that MIPP industry cost estimation guidelines are much more tolerant in terms of accuracy than for Building Construction in Germany, especially in the early phases. With the help of examples (Hot-Briquetted-Iron plant projects versus residential housing projects), a set of possible reasons is identified and categorized by (1) competition intensity incl. technology impact and frequency of project occurrence, (2) demands on cost estimation professionals, (3) materials and supplies used, (4) duration of project execution, (5) Certainty of projected Cash Flows. Finally, the study marks starting points for further research: First, comparing MIPP cost estimation guidelines to non-German Building Construction standards, and second empirically validating and possibly extending the set of explanations.
机译:对建设项目价格的持续压力增加了建筑成本估算准确性的重要性。由于来自亚洲企业的竞争,工厂工程行业的主要承包商也开始面临类似的情况。本文分析了大型工业厂房项目(MIPP)的成本估算标准,并将其与房屋建筑(BC)的成本估算标准进行了比较。该研究方法使用了文献和标准审查,将成本工程促进协会(AACE)的MIPP成本估算指南与遵循建筑师和工程师的官方服务收费表的“成本锥”指南进行了比较。 (德文:HOAI)取得可比的成效阶段。结果表明,MIPP行业成本估算指南在准确性方面比在德国的建筑施工更能容忍,尤其是在早期阶段。借助示例(热压铁工厂项目与住宅项目),可以识别出一系列可能的原因并将其归类为(1)竞争强度。技术影响和项目发生的频率;(2)对成本估算专业人员的要求;(3)使用的材料和用品;(4)项目执行的持续时间;(5)预计现金流量的确定性。最后,该研究标志着进一步研究的起点:首先,将MIPP成本估算指南与非德国建筑施工标准进行比较,其次从经验上验证并可能扩展这组解释。

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    Erbe Anita;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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