首页> 外文OA文献 >Nonlinear Adjustment, Purchasing Power Parity and the Role of Nominal Exchange Rates and Prices
【2h】

Nonlinear Adjustment, Purchasing Power Parity and the Role of Nominal Exchange Rates and Prices

机译:非线性调整,购买力平价以及名义汇率和价格的作用

摘要

Although the literature on purchasing power parity (PPP) is rich in controversy, the relative contribution of prices and nominal exchange rates to real exchange rate movements which restore PPP disequilibria has rarely been put under any close scrutiny. Using monthly data from 1973:01 to 2009:12 from the USA, UK, Germany, France and Japan, this paper as a first step applies a cointegrated VAR framework to test for stationary real exchange rates and linear adjustments in prices and nominal exchange rates. As a second step, ESTR error correction models are fitted to test whether nonlinear error correctional behaviour characterizes the data. The results clearly indicate that the nominal exchange rate is responsible for the nonlinear mean reverting behaviour in real exchange rates and also mainly drives overall adjustment. Applying dynamic stochastic simulations based on the estimated models, this study also confirms recent results that the half-life times of real exchange rate shocks are significantly smaller than the consensus benchmark of three to five years.
机译:尽管有关购买力平价(PPP)的文献争议很大,但几乎没有仔细研究过价格和名义汇率对恢复PPP不平衡的实际汇率变动的相对贡献。使用美国,英国,德国,法国和日本从1973:01到2009:12的月度数据,本文首先使用协整的VAR框架来测试固定实际汇率以及价格和名义汇率的线性调整。第二步,使用ESTR纠错模型来测试非线性纠错行为是否能表征数据。结果清楚地表明,名义汇率是造成实际汇率中非线性均值回复行为的原因,并且还主要推动着整体调整。应用基于估计模型的动态随机模拟,该研究还证实了最近的结果,即实际汇率冲击的半衰期明显小于三到五年的共识基准。

著录项

  • 作者

    Beckmann Joscha;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2011
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号