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From classroom to wedding aisle: The effect of a nationwide change in the compulsory schooling law on age at first marriage in the UK

机译:从教室到婚礼过道:全国范围内义务教育法改变对英国初婚年龄的影响

摘要

Does more schooling causes a delay in marriage? Using a nationwide change in the compulsory schooling law in the UK as a source of exogenous variation in education, this paper estimates the causal effect of schooling on age at first marriage. The 1947 reform, which uniquely affected about a half of the relevant population, led to a jump in the average age at first marriage for both genders, with the effect being much more statistically robust for men than women. The regression discontinuity and IV estimates imply that completing an extra year of schooling increases the average age at first marriage by approximately 3 years for men and almost 2 years for women. Given the compelling effect of the 1947 reform, it is likely that our reduced form estimates come close to mirroring the ATE for the general population.
机译:上学时间增加会导致婚姻延迟吗?本文使用英国义务教育法律的全国性变化作为外在教育变化的源头,本文估算了教育对初婚年龄的因果关系。 1947年的改革独特地影响了大约一半的相关人口,导致男女初婚的平均年龄都有所提高,在统计学上,男性比女性的影响要强得多。回归的不连续性和IV估计值表明,完成额外一年的学习,男性的初婚平均年龄会增加大约3岁,女性大约增加2岁。鉴于1947年改革的令人信服的效果,我们简化后的估算很可能接近反映普通民众的ATE。

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