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Capturing common components in high-frequency financial time series: a multivariate stochastic multiplicative error model

机译:捕获高频金融时间序列中的常见成分:多变量随机乘法误差模型

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摘要

We introduce a multivariate multiplicative error model which is driven by componentspecific observation driven dynamics as well as a common latent autoregressive factor. The model is designed to explicitly account for (information driven) common factor dynamics as well as idiosyncratic effects in the processes of high-frequency return volatilities, trade sizes and trading intensities. The model is estimated by simulated maximum likelihood using efficient importance sampling. Analyzing five minutes data from four liquid stocks traded at the New York Stock Exchange, we find that volatilities, volumes and intensities are driven by idiosyncratic dynamics as well as a highly persistent common factor capturing most causal relations and cross-dependencies between the individual variables. This confirms economic theory and suggests more parsimonious specifications of high-dimensional trading processes. It turns out that common shocks affect the return volatility and the trading volume rather than the trading intensity.
机译:我们介绍了一个多元乘法误差模型,该模型由特定于组件的观察驱动的动力学以及共同的潜在自回归因子驱动。该模型旨在明确考虑(信息驱动)公共因素动力学以及高频收益率波动,交易规模和交易强度过程中的特质效应。通过使用有效重要性采样通过模拟的最大似然估计模型。通过分析在纽约证券交易所交易的四种流动性股票的五分钟数据,我们发现波动性,数量和强度是由特质动力学以及捕获各个变量之间的大多数因果关系和交叉依存关系的高度持久的共同因素驱动的。这证实了经济学理论,并提出了对高维交易过程的更为简化的规范。事实证明,共同的冲击会影响收益率的波动率和交易量,而不是交易强度。

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    Hautsch Nikolaus;

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  • 年度 2007
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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