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Economic growth of agglomerations and geographic concentration of industries: evidence for Germany

机译:集聚的经济增长和行业的地理集中:德国的证据

摘要

The vast majority of regions in West Germany, and the EU, have become more similar in terms of per-capita income and productivity between 1980 and 2000. But a number of rich areas - generally large agglomerations - have succeeded in departing from this trend of convergence. They are continuing to rise above the average productivity level. We examine whether this development can also be seen as due to changes in the spatial distribution of economic sectors. Knowledge-intensive services in particular are identified as industries that combine employment growth and further geographical concentration. Logistical and nonparametric regressions confirm a positive relation between the regional weight of sectors that are continuing to concentrate geographically and the probability that this region will develop ahead of the general trend. We find that increasing localisation of fast growing industries is an important factor behind the changes in the spatial pattern of the economy.
机译:在1980年至2000年之间,西德和欧盟的绝大多数地区在人均收入和生产率方面都变得越来越相似。但是,许多富裕地区(通常是大型集聚区)成功地摆脱了这一趋势。收敛。他们正在继续提高到高于平均生产率水平。我们检查这种发展是否也可以看作是由于经济部门空间分布的变化而引起的。特别是知识密集型服务被视为结合了就业增长和进一步的地理集中度的产业。逻辑和非参数回归证实,继续在地理上集中的部门的区域权重与该区域在总体趋势之前发展的可能性之间存在正相关关系。我们发现,快速发展的产业日益本地化是经济空间格局变化背后的重要因素。

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