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Multi-Objective Programming for the Allocation of Trans-Boundary Water Resources - the Case of the Euphrates and Tigris

机译:跨界水资源配置的多目标规划 - 以幼发拉底河和底格里斯河为例

摘要

The allocation of water in a multi-country river system necessarily involves conflicting objectives, where increasing water benefits to one country may entail losses to other countries. This paper presents the formulation and application of a multi-objective linear programming model, where each objective represents the benefits to a country from using water for agricultural, municipal, and energy uses, net of conveyance costs. This model extends the Euphrates and Tigris River Basin Model (ETRBM), presented in Kucukmehmetoglu and Guldmann (2004), with the three objective functions representing the net water benefits to the three riparian countries u2013 Turkey, Syria, and Iraq. The model is used to delineate the set of non-inferior solutions (Pareto frontiers), where no individual country benefit can be increased without reducing the benefits of at least another country. These Pareto frontiers, and the underlying water resources allocations, are graphically displayed and analyzed under different scenarios related to river flow, electricity price, and agricultural productivity. The trade-offs between the three benefits are assessed, providing the basis for possible compromises among the three countries. Potential policy implications for trans-boundary water resources utilization are discussed.
机译:多国河流系统中的水分配必然涉及相互矛盾的目标,增加对一个国家的水利可能对其他国家造成损失。本文介绍了多目标线性规划模型的制定和应用,其中每个目标代表了用水扣除农业,城市和能源使用对国家的收益(扣除运输成本)。该模型扩展了Kucukmehmetoglu和Guldmann(2004)中提出的幼发拉底河和底格里斯河流域模型(ETRBM),其中三个目标函数代表了三个河岸国家的净水利益 u土耳其,叙利亚和伊拉克。该模型用于描述一组非劣等解决方案(帕累托边疆),在这些解决方案中,任何一个国家的利益都可以在不减少至少另一个国家的利益的情况下增加。在与河流流量,电价和农业生产率有关的不同情况下,以图形方式显示和分析了这些帕累托边界和基础水资源分配。评估了三种利益之间的取舍,为这三种国家之间可能的折衷提供了基础。讨论了跨境水资源利用的潜在政策含义。

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