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Monetary overhang and the dynamics of prices, exchange rates, and income in the transition to a market economy

机译:货币过剩以及向市场经济过渡时的价格,汇率和收入的动态

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摘要

The long road from capitalism to capitalism the Eastern European economies have made has been paved with many economic problems, but the transition from a command economy into a market economy is likely to become a bumpy ride as well. Apart from the major real economic reforms that have to take place, combined with virtual turnaround of the political structure, several countries aiming to reform face a monetary problem as well. Due to persistent state budget deficits, financed by the printing press, a so called monetary overhang threatens the reform process. Monetary overhang is here defined as the excess of money supply over demand at the current price level and at world market interest rates. The consequences of the monetary overhang under a planning system are obvious: the fixity of prices prevents the real money supply from falling to its equilibrium level, and the situation of repressed inflation translates into long queues in front of shops, forced savings, and, if not checked, into a flourishing black market and corruption. The official exchange rate is overvalued, but import demand is checked by rationing of foreign exchange.
机译:东欧经济体从资本主义到资本主义的漫长道路已经铺平了许多经济问题,但是从命令经济过渡到市场经济也可能会遇到坎bump。除了必须进行的重大实质性经济改革,再加上政治结构的实际转变外,一些旨在进行改革的国家也面临货币问题。由于由印刷机资助的持续的国家预算赤字,所谓的货币悬空威胁着改革进程。这里的货币溢价被定义为在当前价格水平和世界市场利率下货币供应量超过需求量的部分。在计划体系下,货币过剩的后果是显而易见的:价格的固定性阻止了实际货币供应量下降到其均衡水平,而通货膨胀受到抑制的情况导致商店前排长队,被迫储蓄,以及如果没有检查,进入蓬勃发展的黑市和腐败。官方汇率被高估了,但是进口需求通过外汇配给来检查。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hofman Bert; Koop Michael J.;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1990
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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