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Possibilistic-scenario Model for DG Impact Assessment on Distribution Networks in an Uncertain Environment

机译:不确定环境下配电网DG影响评估的可能性 - 场景模型

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摘要

The distribution network operators (DNOs) are responsible for securing a diverse and viable energy supply for their customers so the technical and economical impacts of distributed generation (DG) units are of great concerns. Traditionally, the DNOs try to maximize the technical performance of the distribution network, but it is evident that the first step in optimizing a quantity is being able to calculate it. The DG investment/operation which is performed by distributed generation operators/owners (DGOs) (under unbundling rules) has made this task more complicated. This is mainly because the DNO is faced with the uncertainties related to the decisions of DG investors/operators where some of them can be probabilistically modeled while the others are possibilistically treated. This paper proposes a hybrid possibilistic-probabilistic DG impact assessment tool which takes into account the uncertainties associated with investment and operation of renewable and conventional DG units on distribution networks. This tool would be useful for DNOs to deal with the uncertainties which some of them can be modeled probabilistically and some of them are described possibilistically. The proposed method has been tested on a test system and a large-scale real distribution network to demonstrate its strength and flexibility.
机译:配电网络运营商(DNO)负责为其客户确保多样化和可行的能源供应,因此,分布式发电(DG)装置的技术和经济影响受到极大关注。传统上,DNO尝试使分销网络的技术性能最大化,但是很明显,优化数量的第一步就是能够计算出它。由分布式发电运营商/所有者(DGO)执行的DG投资/运营(根据捆绑规则)使此任务更加复杂。这主要是因为DNO面临与DG投资者/运营商的决策相关的不确定性,其中一些可以概率模型化,而其他一些则可以进行概率论处理。本文提出了一种混合概率/概率DG影响评估工具,该工具考虑了与可再生和常规DG装置在配电网络上的投资和运营相关的不确定性。该工具对于DNO处理不确定性很有用,其中一些不确定性可以概率模型化,而某些不确定性可以描述。该方法已经在测试系统和大规模的实际分销网络上进行了测试,以证明其强度和灵活性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Soroudi, Alireza;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2012
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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