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A multivariate regression estimator for rotating sampling surveys

机译:旋转抽样调查的多元回归估计

摘要

Longitudinal surveys collect information on several occasions , or time points. Consider that we have two occasions or waves labelled 1 and 2. The samples selected on occasions 1 and 2 are rarely completely overlapping samples, as not all the units are selected on both occasions. It is common practice to have a large fraction of units sampled at both occasions. Surveys which have this feature are called rotating sampling surveys. The customary point estimators are the Horvitz Thompson and generalised regression estimators of a total or a mean. We propose a new regression estimator for cross-sectional totals and change between totals. This estimator uses the information from both occasions simultaneously instead of each occasion separately. This estimator incorporates the auxiliary variables similar to the general regression estimator and the sample design variables specifying the rotating sampling design. The proposed estimator is multivariate because it combines the auxiliary information from the first and second occasion. Longitudinal surveys are used to monitor change between population target parameters. For social policy makers, the estimation of change over time of social indicators as such youth employment rate, literacy rate and social deprivation indicators may be as important as cross-sectional indicators. The variance of change, for rotating sampling surveys, is a challenging subject since it requires to estimate correlations. Several authors proposed different estimators for correlations. A variance of change is proposed by extending the estimator proposed Berger & Priam (2015) where besides the design variables, the auxiliary variables are included. In the simulation study, the proposed estimator is compared with the Horvitz Thompson (HT) and generalised regression estimators. The relative bias and ratio of relative mean square errors are computed for the estimator of totals. We consider different correlations between the response variables and the auxiliary variables
机译:纵向调查在多个场合或时间点上收集信息。考虑我们有两个标记为1和2的情况或波动。在情况1和2中选择的样本很少是完全重叠的样本,因为并非在所有情况下都选择了所有单位。通常的做法是在两种情况下都抽取很大一部分单位。具有此功能的调查称为循环抽样调查。惯常的点估计量是Horvitz Thompson和总或均值的广义回归估计量。我们针对横截面总数和总数之间的变化提出了一种新的回归估计器。该估计器同时使用两个场合的信息,而不是分别使用每个场合的信息。此估算器结合了类似于一般回归估算器的辅助变量和指定旋转采样设计的样本设计变量。提议的估计量是多元变量,因为它结合了来自第一次和第二次情况的辅助信息。纵向调查用于监视人口目标参数之间的变化。对于社会政策制定者而言,估计诸如青年就业率,识字率和社会贫困指标等社会指标随时间的变化可能与横截面指标一样重要。对于轮转抽样调查而言,变化的方差是一个具有挑战性的主题,因为它需要估计相关性。一些作者为相关性提出了不同的估计量。通过扩展估计器Berger&Priam(2015)提出的变化方差,其中除设计变量外,还包括辅助变量。在仿真研究中,将拟议的估计量与Horvitz Thompson(HT)和广义回归估计量进行比较。为总数的估算器计算相对偏差和相对均方误差的比率。我们考虑了响应变量和辅助变量之间的不同相关性

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