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A survey of commodity markets and structural models for electricity prices

机译:对商品市场和电价结构模型的调查

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摘要

The goal of this survey is to review the major idiosyncrasies of the commodity markets and the methods which have been proposed to handle them in spot and forward price models. We devote special attention to the most idiosyncratic of all: electricity markets. Following a discussion of traded instruments, market features, historical perspectives, recent developments and various modeling approaches, we focus on the important role of other energy prices and fundamental factors in setting the power price. In doing so, we present a detailed analysis of the structural approach for electricity, arguing for its merits over traditional reduced form models. Building on several recent articles, we advocate a broad and flexibleudstructural framework for spot prices, incorporating demand, capacity and fuel prices in several ways, while calculating closed-form forward prices throughout.
机译:这项调查的目的是回顾商品市场的主要特点以及在现货和远期价格模型中提出的处理商品市场的方法。我们特别关注最特质:电力市场。在讨论了交易工具,市场特征,历史观点,最新发展和各种建模方法之后,我们集中讨论了其他能源价格的重要作用以及设定电价的基本因素。在此过程中,我们对电力的结构方法进行了详细的分析,认为其优于传统的简化形式模型。在最近的几篇文章的基础上,我们提倡一个广泛而灵活的结构化的现货价格框架,以几种方式合并需求,容量和燃料价格,同时计算整个期间的封闭式远期价格。

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